Councilor Kanal questions Portland’s focus on cycling

Portland’s new City Council held its first-ever meeting of the Climate, Resilience, and Land Use Committee last Thursday. After a presentation from city staff on the Climate Emergency Work Plan and how Portland will meet its carbon emission reduction goals, City Councilor Sameer Kanal (D2) made comments that raised eyebrows among some transportation reformers.

Portland Bureau of Transportation Planning Group Manager Kristin Hull told committee members that in order to reach net zero carbon emissions by 2050, “We absolutely need to shift more trips to biking, walking and transit. It means changing the behaviors of individual individual Portlanders… it is absolutely the most critical thing we can do to reducing vehicle miles traveled.” Hull’s comments leaned on work that PBOT does to gently incentivize more people to consider options other than driving a car; things like improving transit and biking networks, charging more for car parking, hosting events like Sunday Parkways, and so on.

When given a chance to make a comment, Councilor Kanal responded directly to Hull’s comments. “There was an approach about trying to use incentivization of individual Portlanders’ decision making as the primary methodology for reducing transportation-related carbon emissions that was kind of concerning to me,” he said.

Slide from PBOT presentation.

Then Kanal added, “I don’t think PBOT’s approach addresses the time needs of individual Portlanders,” and that he feels the “bike focus” is sapping urgency from improving transit service. Here’s more from Kanal’s response:

“Portlanders generally do the climate-friendly thing as long as they’re aware of what that is, and they’re able to do it without a substantial cost of time or money. I think that the bike focus for folks who might need to make a trip that will be 20 minutes while driving but an hour while biking, is a way of getting around the conversation about actually investing in public transit.

And that’s not to say that bikes are bad. I’m not saying that at all. But they’re not necessarily the only solution. Same thing with walking and all that. So I was pretty concerned about why we’re investing so much effort into that [biking and walking], as opposed to public transit, which will get you from places in District 2 or District 1 — and frankly all over the city and downtown — a lot faster than say, ‘Hey, bike this entire way,’ especially when we’re also building those bike lanes on major thoroughfares and creating the safety risks associated with that.”

What began as a concern that transit gets short-changed by the City of Portland (keep in mind TriMet owns and operates transit, not PBOT), morphed into what appeared to be an effort to frame transit as a faster and safer way to get around the city than cycling.

For the vast majority of trips, cycling is actually faster than transit — not to mention much more flexible, reliable, and inexpensive (in the long run). According to Google Maps, an eight-mile trip from Peninsula Park in Kanal’s District 2 to Portland Community College’s Southeast Campus in District 1, is 55 minutes on transit compared to 50 minutes by bike. On an e-bike, that trip could easily be just 35-40 minutes. An even easier-to-bike trip of 3.3 miles from Overlook Park in north Portland to City Hall downtown would also be faster by bike, according to Google.

In response to Kanal’s comments, PBOT’s Hull said, “I think we are in an all systems go approach. It’s not one or the other.”

Watch the exchange below:

Jonathan Maus (Publisher/Editor)

Jonathan Maus (Publisher/Editor)

Founder of BikePortland (in 2005). Father of three. North Portlander. Basketball lover. Car driver. If you have questions or feedback about this site or my work, contact me via email at maus.jonathan@gmail.com, or phone/text at 503-706-8804. Also, if you read and appreciate this site, please become a paying subscriber.

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maxD
maxD
1 day ago

Councilor Kanal sounds pretty naive about this. Portland will never have a transit system that works with a a network to support walking and biking. That has never been the goal. Transit is pretty bad in Portland and it should be improved (tunnel under downtown!, reliable during cold/hot weather, faster headways, etc) but it is not productive to think of the transit network and bike network as competing for resources. The biggest safety and climate challenge within our transportation system is way too much reliance and infrastructure for SOV drivers. Too many lanes, too much parking, too many highways, too fast.

buildwithjoe
buildwithjoe
22 hours ago
Reply to  maxD

I am curious about your use of naïve? Can you explain your criteria for him to move from where you judge him into the territory of not naïve? What would that journey look like? What lived experience should he have to live up to your standards?

Daniel Reimer
1 day ago

Would have been great to have PBOT to admit that transit service is not to the level of service it should be instead of getting defensive and gaslighting people. That same trip they mention from Peninsula Park to PCC SE takes half the amount of time driving even during peak hours.

If the fastest non-driving option is biking for a long distance trip, then that is just poor transit service.

Paul H
Paul H
1 day ago
Reply to  Daniel Reimer

What would this accomplish? Are you thinking this would put fire under Metro’s feet?

cacarr
cacarr
1 day ago

” … 55 minutes on transit compared to 50 minutes by bike …”

Dodging traffic for nearly an hour every day is not every 20 and 30-something’s idea of a food time — much less every 40 to 60-something.

JBee
JBee
1 day ago
Reply to  cacarr

This 50-something chooses to dodge traffic on a bike every day instead of being stuck in it in a vehicle.

It sounds like you are advocating for a safer, lower-stress bike network, and I agree with that!

buildwithjoe
buildwithjoe
22 hours ago
Reply to  JBee

How many miles on your commute? Is it cross town as noted in the context here. Or is it from say Sellwood, on a trail and then over a transit bridge to OHSU and yes, I know that involves the doge traffic risks you endure, but should be eliminated in the future.

blumdrew
8 hours ago
Reply to  buildwithjoe

Oh now we’re gatekeeping bike commutes? Sorry, JBee, you may 50-something but since your commute isn’t a 15 mile schlock cross town from Parkrose to Swan Island, your perspective is less important 🙁

Female Jo
Female Jo
6 hours ago
Reply to  blumdrew

Shoutout to Swan Island! That’s my destination and riding there, especially in the dark, is f***ing terrifying for this experienced rider.
10 minutes by car, 20 by bike and up to an hour by bus (almost as quick as walking).

soren
soren
1 day ago

1. Cycling is unambiguously less safe than riding in transit but so is cage driving.
.
2. Cycling is slower than transit when someone does not live in or close to twee central PDX.
.
3. The incredibly cratering of transportation cycling Portland since 2014 has modestly increased carbon emissions.
.
4. Transit mode share has not cratered as much as cycling and, importantly, has markedly increased since the start of the pandemic. Thus, it makes some sense to EMPHASIZE transit when it comes to climate crisis mitigation. Unfortunately, this is not happening in PDX.
.
5. Transit is the primary alternative mode for people who drive less and live in communities of concern (e.g. not in twee central PDX).
.
So while Kanal got a few things wrong (at least by degree) he is correct that Portland should emphasize transit when it comes to climate crisis mitigation and to transportation equity.

In summary: rose lanes, BRT, and city subsidy of Trimet >> new bike lanes.

soren
soren
1 day ago

cycling in Portland when the facts show that it’s the mode that has the best ROI and most potential to help us fight climate change

I think there are ROI arguments when it comes to human health and to human-centered design but the “climate change” argument is, IMO, greatly exaggerated. Cycling mode share has plummeted from almost 8% to a pathetic 3-4% so in the real world cycling’s contribution to decarbonization has fallen 50% in just ten years.

Even if Portland were to achieve 10% cycling mode share (very unlikely), cycling would have a very small impact on transportation GHG emissions, of which ~50% is not even due to transportation of people.

HJ
HJ
23 hours ago

I think there’s a degree of myopia in how a lot of folks look at this issue. Specifically with regards to the fact that most people don’t care about the city boundaries in their daily life and a huge number of the trips that happen inside the city limits start or end outside of the limits. When you factor in the west hills and the time it takes to climb them on a bicycle I absolutely begin to agree with Kanal.
I don’t read his statement as an us vs them. I read it as a balanced opinion that recognizes the reality that trips don’t always magically end at the city boundary.
He’s absolutely right about doing the right thing, when it’s reasonable to. And that the lack of transit is resulting in the result of that reasonableness equation not coming out the way they want it to. For example I’ve stopped going to shows at the Moda center, even ones I’d really like to go to, because parking there is such severe price gouging and I know that due to the climate priorities the city will never step in to help with that problem. I would absolutely love to get there via some other means, but transit doesn’t come anywhere near where I live. They canceled the bus line that stopped two blocks away over 40 yrs ago and never provided an alternative replacement other than driving. Bike theft issues at a venue like that aside riding the hills at close to midnight (it’s common for shows there to get out after 11pm) is not a viable option. It’s both too time consuming and far too hazardous. Riding home would take me over a hour, the drive is maybe 15min. Riding the west hills in the dark is frankly terrifying, I know because I’ve done it a lot. After several times being very intentionally run off the road by hostile drivers in the dark I stopped doing it. Because I’d rather drive than be dead.
Would cycling be my first choice in a perfect world? Absolutely. Is a bus? No, but I’d suck it up and use it instead of my car for a certain number of trips anyways if it was accessible. I’m also realistic in that there are quite a few areas (particularly in the hills) where it would be incredibly expensive and difficult to add bike infrastructure. Whereas a bus can just use what’s already there. At the end of the day if it gets folks out of their cars isn’t it a win?

SD
SD
20 hours ago
Reply to  HJ

This is all true and the correct statement from Kanal would be:
“I think that the CAR and TRUCK focus of our spending and built infrastructure that rewards people who drive for all of their trips under 5 miles is a way of disincentivizing transit, biking and walking.”

But instead, he’s knives out for the crumbs like the many aspirational Portland politicians before him.

Matt
Matt
1 day ago
Reply to  soren

What exactly does repeatedly referring to central Portland as “twee” add to your argument, or the conversation in general? To me it’s just unhelpfully divisive, dismissive, and condescending.

blumdrew
23 hours ago
Reply to  Matt

It’s worse than condescending, it’s also false. Some of the poorest parts of the entire metro region are downtown and Old Town

Fred
Fred
23 hours ago
Reply to  Matt

Also “central” Portland (do you mean “downtown”?) is also the easiest to reach by transit since almost every bus line goes there. So that pretty much kills soren’s argument.

soren
soren
21 hours ago
Reply to  Fred

Central PDX = inner PDX. Downtown is a tiny portion of inner/central PDX.

blumdrew
9 hours ago
Reply to  soren

Here’s a list of census tracts in Inner Portland that have median household incomes below the city’s (~$75k):

51.03, $31k (Old Town)106.02, $33k (Downtown)106.01, $53k (western Downtown)52.01, $46k (eastern Goose Hollow)52.02, $66k (western Goose Hollow)56.01, $47k (northern PSU)56.02, $50k (southern PSU)49.02, $41k (eastern NW)48, $59k (south central NW)49.01, $67k (northern NW)11.01, $56k (southern Central Eastside)21.01, $73k (east Burnside river to 12th)23.03, $47k (Lloyd/Rose Quarter)24.02, $69k (eastern Lloyd)21.02, $63k (east Burnside 12th to 20th)20.02, $60k (east Burnside 20th to 28th)I would hardly call this some “tiny portion” of inner/central Portland.

I count 9 census tracts in Portland with median incomes below $50k. Six of them are in inner Portland, three of them are in East Portland. Large parts of “twee” inner Portland have significant amounts of poverty. Sure, there are lots of rich areas within shouting distance of central Portland too (the Pearl, S Waterfront, Irvington, Laurelhurst) but it’s definitely not all like that.

soren
soren
7 hours ago
Reply to  blumdrew

do you mean “downtown”?

I responded to the above so your response is a strawman.

That being said I find your perennial disregard for the classist power imbalances in this city — where well-off homeowners (and privileged future homeowners) live in resource rich neighborhoods while low-income people and families are increasingly displaced out of Portland or to the periphery — to be utterly repugnant.

blumdrew
5 hours ago
Reply to  soren

I responded to the above so your response is a strawman.

Of the sixteen census tracts quoted above, three are in downtown. I am responding to your comment that is specifically about “inner PDX”.

the classist power imbalances in this city — where well-off homeowners (and privileged future homeowners) live in resource rich neighborhoods

If you compare NW Portland to East Portland, you’ll find similar income profiles but far fewer homeowners in NW than in East. Household sizes do play a major role in this (with NW being in the 1.5 range while East is in the 2.5 range), but it’s not explanatory of everything. Is the typical household in NW (1 person, $45k income, renter) better or worse off than the typical household in East Portland (2 person household, $70k household income, homeowner)? [income data here, household size here]

There is ample evidence of displacement from many Portland neighborhoods, but that is still specific to certain areas and not universally true. It is especially relevant in inner N/NE (Albina) where household incomes have more than doubled since 2010. But your simplistic view of the structure of income and class in Portland leaves a lot to be desired, even if it is true in passing. Rent is lower in NW, Old Town, and Downtown ($800 to $1,500 per month) than it is in East Portland ($1,200 to $1,800 per month) [data here].

Reducing Portland to “rich people near the city center, poor people in the periphery” is just not accurate. You are producing no specific sources! I am aware of the general pattern of displacement you describe, but I do not think it is a universal truth which applies to all places equally. Even within inner Portland, there are significant differences between areas. Saying it’s all homeowners or “privileged future homeowners” when it is demonstrably primary renters, many of which are demonstrably poor is flat wrong.

soren
soren
3 hours ago
Reply to  blumdrew

Sigh. I guess my off-the-cuff “twee” has now morphed from being “false” to “true in passing”.

I could have pointed out the many neighborhoods in central/inner Portland with median incomes in the $150,000-$220,000 range but these kinds of anecdotes are utterly irrelevant to a comment that more about creating cherry-picked “gotchas” over the meaning of a single word.

blumdrew
18 minutes ago
Reply to  soren

Being true in places is different than being true. I am saying that there is a range of experiences and nuance in describing central Portland, something which is not disproven by Irvington existing. You are wrong to call it “twee” as a catch all describer

Keviniano
Keviniano
4 hours ago
Reply to  soren

I have the same question, why “twee”? What are you trying to say? Please be clear.

Jake9
Jake9
21 hours ago
Reply to  Matt

I feel the same way about reading swearing here. I’m glad we finally agree on something!

Trike Guy
Trike Guy
9 hours ago
Reply to  soren

2. Cycling is slower than transit when someone does not live in or close to twee central PDX.

This is simply flat out wrong.

From Beaverton to Clackamas it is *VASTLY* faster to cycle than ride transit.

A pure transit trip from 11635 SW Center in Beaverton to 12402 SE Jennifer st in the morning requires:
4:30am Leave home
4:42am Get on Red Line
5:29am Transfer to Green Line at Gateway
5:51am Arrive Clackamas Town Center
6:23am Board line 30 to Estacada
6:40am (ish) Arrive office.

(do not believe for a second that you can take the 5:12 red line and arive at CTC at 6:20 and actually reliably board the 30 at 6:23 – and the 30 is a once an hour bus)

OR: Get rid of the 30 and ride 4 miles from CTC and arrive office 6:10am.

Only real issues are crossing the slip lanes on Sunnyside, dealing with right turning movements from cars coming off 205 at Sunnybrook, dodge all the big trucks parked in the bike lane on 98th place, deal with the cars that don’t stop for peds at the slip land from 212 onto 224, cross Jennifer at 122nd (which can be dicey).

Oh, and slow down going under 205 – the one time I forgot that is when there were debris in the path and I crashed. Still recovering.

OR: Deboard the red line in Goose Hollow and ride around 15 miles and arrive around 6:00 – 6:05. Not much of a time saving, but you are no longer at the mercy of a TriMet issue causing you to miss the Green line transfer. Switch from the town bike to the trike and arrive at the office at 5:55.

Dicey parts – Columbia down to 1st, but only due to potholes that can damage tires. Harmony to 82nd. Skip the Sunnybrook issue by going down 93rd and using the light there to cross. The rest is the same as from CTC

OR – Ride the trike from Beaverton to work in 1:20 (avg, as low as 1:10 when everything goes my way and I’m in really good shape).

We won’t even discuss some fo the dicey things in this trip (taking a trike down Taylor’s Ferry at 30mph at 4:30 🙂 ).

As you can see, replacing the last segment with a bike is the biggest time saving, but riding the entire way saves another 20 minutes or more over that.

This, BTW, is a 57 year old without e-assist. Add even a low power E-assist and take 10 minutes off the longer trips, maybe 15 off the 20miler due to the modest hills in there.

Mark Pietro
Mark Pietro
7 hours ago
Reply to  soren

Transit mode share has not cratered as much as cycling and, importantly, has markedly increased since the start of the pandemic.

Huh? Transit ridership is still MARKEDLY DECREASED in Portlalnd as compared to pre-pandemic.

Public transit ridership in the Portland metro area still low as fares set to increase – Axios Portland

blumdrew
4 hours ago
Reply to  soren

4. Transit mode share has not cratered as much as cycling and, importantly, has markedly increased since the start of the pandemic. Thus, it makes some sense to EMPHASIZE transit when it comes to climate crisis mitigation. Unfortunately, this is not happening in PDX.

This is easily disprovable. Per the census, in 2023, 6.2% of workers commuted by transit compared to 3.7% by bike. That works out to 22,500 and 13,400 workers for each mode, respectively. In 2019, 13.4% of workers commuted by transit compared to 5.2% by bike. That works out to 49,100 and 19,000 workers for each mode respectively.

So transit commute share is down 54% while bike commute share is down 28%. I don’t think commute share is the end all be all of metrics, but it’s kind of the only one available for comparing bikes with transit directly. Do you have any evidence to support your narrative to the contrary? Even using the peak year of Portland cycling (2014) shows a 42% decline – still less than the transit decline quoted above.

Charley
Charley
1 hour ago
Reply to  soren

My e-bike ride from Milwaukie to downtown Portland runs from 25-30 minutes, door to door. There’s no way for me to beat that using transit, even if I assume the train comes on time. (THE TRAIN REGULARLY FAILS TO COME ON TIME!)

Don’t get me wrong: I love jumping on the Max when I’m going home from work and the weather is crappy. But my employer docks my pay for tardiness, so I cannot afford to be late for work because the train just never comes.

Bjorn
Bjorn
1 day ago

I am curious about this supposed normal everyday trip within portland that takes an hour to bike but only 20 minutes to drive, I guess maybe a trip that used the freeway at a time of day that doesn’t have freeway congestion? It does not seem like the average trip.

You can really tell that he doesn’t know what he is talking about when he starts favorably comparing travel times of transit to cycling though. I know multiple frequent bike commuters who started biking specifically because it was faster than transit, especially if you have to transfer cycling is going to beat the bus on almost any trip you come up with. I just popped in a random trip I might take to use as a baseline, my house to cinema 21 around noon on a Wednesday is 20 minutes by car (doesn’t count parking time) 40 minutes by bike, and an hour by transit. Shift that to the evening when I would be more likely to go that way and bike/transit times are the same but driving goes up 30 percent to 26 minutes, at which point by the time you park and walk to cinema 21 you are going to be pretty similar to biking. I’d love for transit to be faster but anyone who is starting from the premise that transit now is faster than cycling probably doesn’t bike or use transit all that much.

Matt
Matt
1 day ago
Reply to  Bjorn

That’s my bike commuting story exactly. Both the Max and the bus are slow enough routes from downtown to NE Portland just shy of 82nd that transitioning to bike commuting was a sensible choice.

For many destinations, if the choice is between public transit or biking, biking is the first option. The idea that transit is optimally faster than biking in Portland perhaps suggests that this is a theory spouted by someone who does neither.

It would be fantastic if Tri-Met incorporated more frequent headways or the city got serious about dedicated bus lanes. It just doesn’t seem productive for a city councilor to propagate a tired narrative that PBOT investing in bike and walking projects and infrastructure is an impediment to transit aims by somehow removing resources and focus from transit. The concern seems misdirected, if not misguided. As others have noted, public transit is ultimately controlled by Tri-Met and not PBOT, so if the purpose is to improve transit service, perhaps Kanal should direct their challenge to Tri-Met .

david hampsten
david hampsten
1 day ago
Reply to  Matt

If the city was really serious about supporting public transit, be it TriMet, C-Tran, or any other service, they would remove on-street parking on all public transit streets and put in dedicated transit-only lanes on Division, Burnside, 82nd, 122nd, and so on – as well as re-purpose any “second lane” on both sides of all 4-lane stroads to be transit-only. The city would also give bus drivers the same technology and access as fire trucks for signal priority in traffic.

Robert Gardener
Robert Gardener
1 day ago
Reply to  david hampsten

Comment of the week

Fred
Fred
23 hours ago

Yep – David makes good sense here. The rose lanes have been really great for bus riders, esp the one going up the hill to Hillsdale in SW. We used to sit in traffic for 20-25 minutes and now we zip right up the hill to Sunset. Great!

qqq
qqq
1 day ago
Reply to  Bjorn

That was also my commuting story exactly. In fact, when I factored in the slightly extra distance of walking between home and the bus stop, and between work and the other bus stop, plus arriving 5 minutes early at the bus stop to avoid missing buses that were slightly early, it was faster to WALK than ride the bus.

Plus, if I missed the bus, it was a half-hour wait (or an hour later in the day). Walking or biking, I could leave exactly when I wanted. If I missed the bus, it was as fast or faster to walk to or from work than it was to wait for the next bus.

james
james
1 day ago

Y’all are gonna debate this forever without accomplishing anything, aren’t you.

buildwithjoe
buildwithjoe
22 hours ago
Reply to  james

The street trust and bike loud are gonna create signal chats, chairs, co chairs, and working groups and then loop in the city bike committee and Roger Geller. Stay tuned. Bike happy hour debates to follow. ( I copied and pasted this off the Onion article on the same topic )

Nathan K
Nathan K
10 hours ago
Reply to  buildwithjoe

I trust the more objective and data driven opinions of Jon Maus on bike advocacy, per my presence on these article comments.

I am skeptical and reluctant to support any policy ideas/demands offered by a group led by Sarah Iannerone and feel that the aggressive nature of hardcore advocates in “Bike Loud” is counterproductive to pragmatic policy as is typically discussed on this site.

idlebytes
idlebytes
1 day ago

By my count we’ve had three councilors throw shade at cycling so far Clark, Zimmerman and now Kanal. Not surprising but not great to have 1/4 of the council make anti-biking comments so soon. That doesn’t include anyone from District 1 which I assume includes one or two reps that aren’t fans of cycling based on general complaints I’ve heard from neighbors and family in that district.

I agree that biking is generally faster than transit here but it probably shouldn’t be in that we should speed up transit. A driver watching buses blow by them in dedicated lanes while they’re stuck in traffic every day would probably do more to get them out of their car then watching cyclists do the same.

Paul H
Paul H
1 day ago
Reply to  idlebytes

Maybe I’m missing something, but someone in good faith (albeit perhaps naively) suggesting a shift in priority from bikes to transit isn’t “throwing shade”.

If he had said something akin to, “I don’t think we should prioritize bikes since bikes are dangerous and annoying”, that would be throwing shade.

Is he wrong about his hypothetical trip being 20 min by car vs 1 hour by bike? For me, he’s definitely wrong. But for a family of 4, gearing up two adults and two kids for the rain, taking a less direct but calmer route, riding at the slowest kid’s pace, and being extra diligent at unsignaled intersections might very well take an hour.

idlebytes
idlebytes
1 day ago
Reply to  Paul H

So to you saying bikes are dangerous and annoying is shade but saying they’re slow and sapping urgency from climate change efforts isn’t shade? I’d say that’s taking a big ol’ dump on one of the most efficient, inexpensive and climate friendly modes of transportation.

What’s the point of your example? Most cars on the road are single occupant vehicles not a family of four. Your hypothetical is irrelevant to the conversation.

Paul H
Paul H
19 hours ago
Reply to  idlebytes

A car with a family of a four can travel just as far in 20 minutes as a single occupancy vehicle. The same cannot be said for a family of 4 biking vs an individual adult.

Aren’t we supposed to be building bike infrastructure for families and not the “strong and fearless”?

My whole point is that dude is probably wrong, but also probably not as wrong as people seem to think.

Nathan K
Nathan K
10 hours ago
Reply to  idlebytes

The reality is we are not going to be saved nor doomed from “climate change” based on everyone within Portland City limits choosing to bike or not. There are many valid reasons to justify and push bike transit initiatives, even too for ones own values due to their conscious on climate change. Although emphasizing climate change as justification to steer our communities limited tax funds is disingenuous, an appeal to emotion and gaslighting.

There’s no magical forcefield that keeps CO2 generated throughout the world and associated heat energy input from infiltrating Portland. CO2 emission reductions of 100 people scrapping their Prius’s to bike is cancelled out by a single soccer mom in Scottsdale AZ deciding she must have a Chevy Yukon to drive herself to pilates everyday.

Nathan K
Nathan K
10 hours ago
Reply to  Paul H

This is exactly my situation. Something that was more manageable, if not preferred in years past (for the exercise and reduced stress of sitting in traffic). Now, however, with a young family this is time i lose spending with my 6 month old son everyday and sleep is still at a premium as far needing to get up even earlier for such commute.

Watts
Watts
1 day ago
Reply to  idlebytes

Transit is slow because it makes a ton of stops, involves waiting on one end (and perhaps in the middle if you have to transfer), and often doesn’t get you quite the whole way there.

These characteristics are hard to change with the transit technology we currently use.

idlebytes
idlebytes
23 hours ago
Reply to  Watts

Dedicated lanes and express lines (that don’t stop at every stop) would speed up transit and are not outside the limits our our transit technology.

Watts
Watts
22 hours ago
Reply to  idlebytes

Express buses would help a certain set of computers. I didn’t know why TriMet largely avoids them, but maybe there aren’t enough potential riders to make them worthwhile.

blumdrew
8 hours ago
Reply to  Watts

TriMet used to have some select rush hour express services, mostly on downtown -> eastside trunks. The 9 and 14 both had more than one per day until financial crisis era cuts. Rush hour peak service is difficult to manage efficiently without excess deadheading, and just a few limited stop express services don’t make that easier. Corridors with really high bus ridership (like Geary and Mission in SF) often have like a local service + a limited stop service, but those are corridors with ridership that Portland will frankly never see without categorically different scales of urban development

donel courtney
donel courtney
19 hours ago
Reply to  Watts

In my view the only way to change this is to create mini-cities around the max stops, put a max tunnel in and maybe some viaducts through east portland and gresham. So there could be a large population of people who can be car-less and just ride the max to stuff. I did this essentially cause I hate driving and had a lot of spare time having no kids.

Its being done in a vague sort of way, i guess. But its a long ways off from becoming viable. Seattle is getting there. Their light rail system has alot of density around it. Of course Seattle started off with twice the density.

But population growth would provide a huge impetus for it and there is none.

blumdrew
8 hours ago
Reply to  donel courtney

The densest parts of Seattle are surprisingly poorly served by the Link. The fact that it gets such great ridership is a testament to just how miserable traffic on I5 is up there. The heart of the densest part of Seattle (Belltown, nearly 50k people/square mile) is a full 20 minute walk from the nearest light rail stop. The MLK leg of the Link has population densities no more than a denser Portland neighborhood like Buckman.

Sound Transit is great, but they are much more commuter oriented than an agency like TriMet. King County Metro buses are the core part of Seattle transit, while the Link is a Frankenstein light rail commuter line which is great for regional trips but has limited local utility. I think this is fine by the way, just it’s more dependent on feeder bus routes + park n rides than adjacent station density for ridership.

Nathan K
Nathan K
10 hours ago
Reply to  Watts

The time for the Max to navigate through downtown is absurd. Despite having zoo season passes, even my very green minded wife cannot justify taking the Max. She/we always drive.

Will
Will
6 hours ago
Reply to  Nathan K

Trimet *has* to find a way to get the downtown tunnel built.

Lisa Caballero (Contributor)
Editor
Reply to  idlebytes

“Throwing shade?” Last I heard was that Zimmerman was shopping for an e-bike. And Clark? Not sure at all what you are talking about. She got funding for the Tillikum bridge. (Maybe the bridge casts some shade, or all those cyclists on the bridge …)

idlebytes
idlebytes
1 day ago

Both of my examples of these council members making questionable comments about cycling came from this site. Zimmerman commenting about doing things differently in different districts and the mayor taking that to mean less bike lanes in his district. Clark’s dismissive responses to Jonathan mentioning cycling infrastructure in their shed interview weren’t great.

I don’t think shopping for an e-bike makes anyone an advocate for bicycle commuting or infrastructure. Getting funding for a transit bridge that also has cycling with a very poor connections to the network is hardly a resounding endorsement of bicycle infrastructure and sounds more like we’ll tack on cycling as an afterthought. Kind of like the 102nd bike lanes that are making East Portlanders hate cyclists even more.

Yes the mayor could have interpreted Zimmerman incorrectly and yes I may have read into Clark’s responses too much but considering the decades of council members claiming to care about cycling and voting on master plans that supposedly support it their follow through has been abysmal. All I’m saying is it’s not a great start. Kanal however is without a doubt throwing shade at bicycle commuting and from a place of ignorance.

buildwithjoe
buildwithjoe
22 hours ago
Reply to  idlebytes

I’m curious why you feel a call for reflection on the decay of transit is throwing shade at cycling? I did not see that. But I know it’s easy to feel that way. Just wondering if you could reflect more.

SolarEclipse
SolarEclipse
1 day ago

No where does TriMet get any of their money from the city of Portland.

TriMet’s FY25 budget is estimated at $1.84 billion. About 91% of funding for FY25 operating resources comes from three sources: payroll tax revenues, passenger revenues and federal funds. For FY25, TriMet expects to receive about $540 million in payroll taxes; $83 million in passenger fares; and about $170 million from federal operating grants. We also receive a small portion of our funding from accessible transportation and service contracts and advertising. The FY25 budget includes the first full year of revenues from our 2024 fare increase.

Other than sharing the streets, the City shouldn’t be providing any money for transit purposes.

PBOT, and all the city bureaus, need to get back to basics. Get their maintenance backlog taken care of first and foremost, plan for ongoing maintenance in the years to come, and then and only then do they start talking about aspirational additions. If that can all happen now, then awesome, provided the budget allows for it.
If budget doesn’t allow for nice to haves, then table them until there’s actual budget for not only the project but the maintenance of said project.

I’m so sick of our politicians wasting our tax money on those “nice to haves” without any consideration about the maintenance of them.

david hampsten
david hampsten
1 day ago
Reply to  SolarEclipse

In years past, PBOT would contract with TriMet to run the Portland Streetcar service as well as the Pill Hill gondola. Who currently pays for those services?

soren
soren
9 hours ago
Reply to  david hampsten

The streetcar is 75%% real estate boosterism, 24% tourism boosterism, and 1% transit. In other words, a transit facility that is slower than walking (or rolling) is not a facility that in any way functions as modern people-focused transit.

blumdrew
1 day ago
Reply to  SolarEclipse

Besides the streetcar, Portland also has been a partner on most TriMet capital projects. I think we issued bonds to pay for the Orange Line. It’s good that the city participates in making transit better within the city, why wouldn’t they? Better transit service (especially on non-city owned streets) takes pressure off the rest of the system

soren
soren
9 hours ago
Reply to  blumdrew

So you are fine with crumbs for transit? Nice to know, blumdrew.
.

I think we issued bonds to pay for the Orange Line.

Oregon, metro, and trimet used bond proceeds to provide matching funds for the Orange line. Please provide evidence that the City of Portland issued bonds to fund the orange line.

blumdrew
8 hours ago
Reply to  soren

So you are fine with crumbs for transit? Nice to know, blumdrew.

Where do I say that? I am saying that Portland should partner with TriMet on transit projects

I guess it was just local match (~$60M) on closer inspection. I might have been thinking about the Sellwood Bridge bonds.

SD
SD
1 day ago

I expected more from Kanal, whom I voted for. My patience is absolutely gone for representatives that jump into transpo policy with their gut feelings, personal experience or half-baked ideas without putting in the effort to think these things through. He promoted himself as a policy wonk, but here he is saying stuff that is inaccurate and could easily be analyzed.

Watts
Watts
1 day ago
Reply to  SD

“He promoted himself as a policy wonk, but here he is saying stuff that is inaccurate and could easily be analyzed.”

He should be posting on Bike Portland!

blumdrew
1 day ago
Reply to  Watts

Hey we get wonky here too, just say the word “property tax” and I’ll write a dissertation

Fred
Fred
23 hours ago
Reply to  Watts

Speak for yourself, Watts. 🙂

Lisa Caballero (Contributor)
Editor
Reply to  SD

Ouch. He got your vote, huh? That’s gonna be a long four years.

SD
SD
1 day ago

Ha ha… to be fair, a lot of people got my vote. RCV!

Lisa Caballero (Contributor)
Editor
Reply to  SD

LOL. Luv ya SD. You’re too busy (job, kid) but advocacy involves holding those electeds close. I’m not talking about you, but up-thread. Advocates have got to help their reps, bring ‘em up to speed. It’s not like you elect them and then kick back and hope. Getting someone with potential into office is just the beginning, then the fun starts.

Jake9
Jake9
21 hours ago

“Advocates have got to help their reps, bring ‘em up to speed. It’s not like you elect them and then kick back and hope.“

An interesting view on elected leadership. If they don’t know how to do something and don’t appear to know how to learn how to do something then why vote for them?

Lisa Caballero (Contributor)
Editor
Reply to  Jake9

Very good point, Jake. I voted experience, I think D4 stands out as a District with representatives who bring expertise and experience to the table.

But even a qualified, competent representative will have knowledge gaps. Transportation is a steep learning curve, if you sense your rep could use some help, well help them.

I just got off zoom call in which Eric Wilhelm talked about giving Mitch Green a bike tour of SW. Don Baack has walked with all our reps. I gave EZ a stormwater tour. Reach out to your rep, they might appreciate it.

donel courtney
donel courtney
19 hours ago
Reply to  SD

Mr. Kanal’s bio shows that he’s a good networker– he went to UW as a transfer, then worked in retail and then government. Why would you expect anything from him in the way of being a wonk?

There’s nothing in his bio to suggest that.

I used to hang out with a long time and current San Francisco councilman, Rafael Mandelmen. He went to UC Berkeley law (Boalt), which is harder to get into than any law school except Harvard and Yale. He’s smart and empathetic and highly functional and keeps getting re-elected.

In Portland we have our one-termers who everyone is like “Man that person sucked, total disappointment”..then next election its “Bring on the next, mediocre resume, virtue signaler, who cares if they’ve achieved nothing in their lives–they CARE”

SD
SD
8 hours ago
Reply to  donel courtney

Do you know what the term “policy wonk” means?

Marat
Marat
4 hours ago
Reply to  SD

It may be cynical of me, but the tone he’s using makes me suspect he’s trying to score political points, in a low-key culture war way. Taking cheap shots at cycling as a mode, and people who ride bikes as a demo, is an easy way to get certain people on your side. He brings up relevant points, but doesn’t make the actual points honestly or effectively, because it’s not even close to zero sum: cycling infra is mad cheap to put in and doesn’t take hardly anything from other modes. It’s quick and cheap and low hanging fruit. It would be very bad if cheap ass politicians and other string pullers were trying to use cycling as a way of avoiding the political and dollar costs of actually improving public transit — and it’s something I can easily imagine happening — but I don’t see it happening here and now, and I don’t believe Kanal sees it either or believes it. That’s why I distrust his motives for saying this.

I don’t have a lot of love for yuppies either, and I don’t think we should collectively invest in their convenience at the expense of other things, but using “twee inner Portland professional class Lycra lifestyle cyclists” tropes is a transparently disingenuous — or else actually ignorant — rhetorical move.

SD
SD
3 hours ago
Reply to  Marat

Yes! There are very few Portland politicians that haven’t dabbled in bashing “cyclists” over the past 20 years. Oddly, many of those same politicians have not hesitated to pander to people who bike in small settings. It works for progressives and conservatives. Cutting a bike project’s throat and leaving it bleeding on the floor is a rite of passage for people who want to advance in local politics, both in elected positions and advocacy. This statement says more about Kanal’s ambitions than his principles or ideas.

Watts
Watts
1 day ago

I’ve explored a fairly large number of real trips in the past 6 months, and almost without exception, driving is fastest, transit is slowest, and biking falls about In the middle.

Biking is obviously the cheapest, transit is the most expensive, and driving falls somewhere in between (if you have access to car).

These were all real, practical trips for me, and may not reflect your situation.

John
John
1 day ago
Reply to  Watts

How is transit the most expensive? It seems like that would only be the case if you were gifted a free car and also either did zero maintenance on it or that was also paid for by somebody else.

bjorn
bjorn
22 hours ago
Reply to  John

When we owned a Chevy Spark EV I did the math and driving to work was cheaper than the bus fare for an approximately 10 mile commute. That was an exceptionally cheap car to own due to the low lease rate but it is not surprising that for many cars the “marginal cost” of a trip can fall below the cost of bus fares especially if you are travelling with 1 or more other people.

Watts
Watts
21 hours ago
Reply to  John

“How is transit the most expensive?”

I already own my car. A transit trip from my home to, say NE Killingsworth, costs me $5.60. A car trip costs much less. A bike ride is (nearly) free.

Driving does incur a small maintenance and depreciation cost, but that, plus fuel, is much less than $5. It does not impact the cost of buying the car in the first place.

I chose a cheap, reliable, efficient car. If you owned something stupid like a Jeep, your evaluation might be different.

Jake9
Jake9
8 hours ago
Reply to  Watts

Just Empty Every Pocket.

And cheap, reliable cars tend to cost less for insurance and pretty much all costs. Depreciation isn’t as much a factor if one plans to keep the same car for as long as possible, using it to supplement transit and cycling (as you’ve mentioned)rather than using it as an outward manifestation of one’s body parts.

Trike Guy
Trike Guy
8 hours ago
Reply to  Watts

Transit maxes at $1200/year.

The average cost of full coverage insurance in Oregon in 2020 was $1030 (per a report by Farmers Insurance Group).

For 50% of the people with paid off cars that leaves only $170 for fuel and maintenance. And if my co-workers are typical, the cost of maintenance on a moderately high mileage car is a lot more than that.

You also absolutely have to amortize the original purchase cost of the car (less any money realized from selling it) over the total miles. To do otherwise is just intellectually dishonest.

Watts
Watts
7 hours ago
Reply to  Trike Guy

“amortize the original purchase cost of the car”

That’s what depreciation does!

Other fixed cost of owning a car do not factor in to my cost structure because I’m going to own a car regardless for reasons independent of travel around Portland.

Trike Guy
Trike Guy
5 hours ago
Reply to  Watts

If I drove, my commute would be 18miles each way. With vacation and holidays that’s around 8,500 miles per year. I have that commute because I have a below market rate apartment ($300-$400 below).

Earning a month pass each month on TriMet = $1200.

That’s $0.14/mile

Okay, let’s make this worse for TriMet: I only use it sometimes. A single trip replacing an 18mile car trip is $2.80 or $0.16/mile

Now,

Let’s assume that someone just gives me a new car with great mileage. A Ford Fusion Hybrid gets 41mpg city. 2024 average gas price in OR was $3.88.

That’s $.095/mile

Insurance: OR Average for minimum is $71/month. (quotes for a 58 year old maile with no accidents are actually higher on a 2015 Ford Focus – I figured a new Ford Fusion would be higher still and full coverage doubles that).

That’s $852/year, or $0.10/mile if I only commuted in it. I’d have to drive it over 14k miles to get the per mile cost of insurance down to $0.06.

But, if I only use it sometimes and bike or trimet others that cost goes *UP* on a per mile basis.

So, the car is still more expensive than TriMet on a per mile basis – before maintenaces ($1100/ 5years is average for a new Ford) and cost of vehicle (for those who don’t have a fairy godmother gift them a modern car).

Low mileage driven does improve things. The closest I could come to a per mile insurance quote had me near the $.06/mile mark (daily rate + 36 miles at the mile rate).

This is all before such considerations as: In over 10 years I have never seen a fare inspector between Beaverton and Goose Hollow in the morning (use that information as you will – I’m not saying I ride to Goose Hollow without paying then ride the bike …. I wouldn’t do that).

Watts
Watts
5 hours ago
Reply to  Trike Guy

My per-mile gas costs are about $.10; my depreciation is about the same, and my maintenance is… heck let’s call it the same (though it’s probably lower). 30c per mile is my cost of driving. For a 5 mile trip (almost all my in-city trips are shorter than this), that’s $3 round-trip. I already have insurance, so my trip adds nothing to that cost.

If you add in the cost of my time for mickey-mousing around with TriMet, it increases the cost significantly, but even ignoring that, driving costs about half of taking the bus. If I take a passenger, it cuts the price in half again.

Your situation might be completely different. You may not own a car, or own an expensive, inefficient one; you may not pay bus fare, or get the geezer rate, or have a bus pass for whatever reason; you may take longer trips, or shorter ones; or you may have an EV that has lower costs. If your situation is anything like mine, you’ll come to a similar conclusion. If your situation is completely different, you may arrive at a different answer.

That said, I do think that my situation reflect that of a lot of Portlanders.

Micah
Micah
20 minutes ago
Reply to  Watts

$0.1/mile depreciation is pretty low. Typical lifetime mileage is 100 kmi for a car, and the typical price of an auto is more than $0.1/mile x 100 kmi = $10,000, especially if you are paying somebody to borrow money for the purchase as many of the people clogging our roads do. I suppose you could tack trade-in value onto the $10K.

bjorn
bjorn
2 hours ago
Reply to  Trike Guy

If you are going to consider the sunk costs of the car when comparing the trips then you should include the sunk costs we all pay to subsidize transit which is about 10 times the fare on Trimet. That of course does not make any sense when considering how someone approaches the decision of what mode to use for a specific trip. I am a big supporter of transit, but the current fare structure in our city nudges people towards driving for many trips, just one more reason why we should consider replacing the fare with a monthly utility fee of around $10/household like Corvallis has done and remove the fare from the equation.

Robert Gardener
Robert Gardener
1 day ago
Reply to  Watts

I agree with the caveat that cars seem cheap because the marginal cost of a trip is mainly the subsidized price of the fuel. A very modest fraction of the total amount we spend on private cars would afford pretty incredible transit.

At times when my commute was by either transit or bike, transit worked fine if I was on schedule but once late, only the bike would let me clock in on time. The transfer time lag is the weakest point.

Chasing Backon
Chasing Backon
1 day ago
Reply to  Watts

I’m curious how transit rates the most expensive. Did this not consider car ownership, licensing, insurance? I’ve done some math and it’s something like $100 a month for my car, which get’s under 5k a year of use, to sit in front of my house during drier months.

bjorn
bjorn
22 hours ago
Reply to  Chasing Backon

most drivers do not pay for insurance by the mile so there is no marginal insurance cost, there is some depreciation cost associated with additional miles but if you lease there is no cost at all as long as you don’t exceed the maximum number of miles allowed by your lease, similarly license plates in Oregon are an all you can drive for 1 price so no marginal cost there either. These are certainly policy choices that if changed could nudge people out of cars instead of into them but currently everything is designed in a way that once you decide to have the car it is often the cheapest and fastest way to travel on any given trip.

Chris I
Chris I
22 hours ago
Reply to  Chasing Backon

For car owners, they assume the car is already bought and paid for, tires don’t wear out, parking is free, etc.

If you already have a monthly transit pass, guess what the incremental trip cost is going to be? Zero.

Watts
Watts
8 hours ago
Reply to  Chris I

I do not have a monthly transit pass, so, to me, that doesn’t factor in to my cost evaluation. If I had one, transit would be the cheapest mode.

Though, even if free, I would still see transit as a mode of last resort because it is slow, unreliable, and I find it somewhat unpleasant on average (ie some trips are fine, some really suck).

Watts
Watts
22 hours ago
Reply to  Chasing Backon

When I’m comparing the cost to take the bus or drive for a particular trip, choosing to drive does not increase my insurance or the other fixed costs of car ownership, so they didn’t factor into my cost comparison.

I only consider fuel and mileage-based maintenance and depreciation.

Micah
Micah
8 hours ago
Reply to  Watts

You’re avoiding Chris I’s (salient) point that some people experience no marginal cost for transit. It’s the same argument you make with the modes reversed. It’s bogus in both directions but gets at an important dynamic in transportation choice.

Watts
Watts
7 hours ago
Reply to  Micah

Every generality has exceptions.

If you live at Gateway and work at Lloyd Center, transit is going to provide you the fastest commute, hands down. That does not invalidate the idea that transit is generally the slowest mode. There are plenty of people with a transit pass and no car, but they are dwarfed by the number of people with a car and no transit pass.

Everyone is making evaluations based on their personal needs, and we can see the result. Many people driving, some people on transit, and a few hearty souls riding bikes.

Micah
Micah
6 hours ago
Reply to  Watts

Everyone is making evaluations based on their personal needs, and we can see the result.

The point is that the per-trip marginal cost is not a good quantity to use to predict the behavior we’re discussing. If liability insurance costs increased by two orders of magnitude, a bunch of people who now drive would start riding the bus even though all marginal costs are the same. This confusion can lead to a subsequent confusion in our policy preferences. Yes, the per-trip cost of the car is small, but, if the fixed costs were high, people would switch. Looking at why people keep cars despite the cost illuminates why it is difficult to shift mode share. In the contemporary US there are a lot of things that are very difficult to do without a personal car. I think this is much more of a ‘driver’ of habitual car usage than the cost of transit. Once you take it as a law of nature that there will be a personal auto for your use, then your analysis applies — and this sets a very high bar for transit design, since, as you have pointed out, cars are fast and convenient.

Watts
Watts
5 hours ago
Reply to  Micah

Once you take it as a law of nature that there will be a personal auto for your use, then your analysis applies — and this sets a very high bar for transit design, since, as you have pointed out, cars are fast and convenient.

This is exactly the problem. In today’s America, auto availability is a “law of nature”, as it has been for many decades.

The only thing I can see disrupting that is automation.

Micah
Micah
1 day ago
Reply to  Watts

When you say parenthetically ‘if you have access to car’, I assume you mean you did not include purchase price and maintenance (including insurance) of the car in your analysis (but did include the cost of fuel). That significantly undercounts the cost of driving for infrequent drivers. I would get reimbursed more than the trimet fare for longer transit trips if I expensed them at work as car trips, so the cost is debatable, IMO.

Watts
Watts
22 hours ago
Reply to  Micah

“I assume you mean you did not include purchase price and maintenance (including insurance) of the car in your analysis (but did include the cost of fuel)”

Correct. I was considering the variable costs of driving, which, for my situation, at least, are quite low. I am an infrequent driver.

Your work probably pays you the IRS rate, which is quite high, and bears no relation to your actual costs.

Micah
Micah
9 hours ago
Reply to  Watts

Your work probably pays you the IRS rate, which is quite high, and bears no relation to your actual costs.

You’re probably right about the source of the rate. It is related to (by the identity) the actual cost to my employer and hence relevant here.

Lois Leveen
Lois Leveen
1 day ago

It’s discouraging to see transit framed as in opposition to bicycling and walking, when in fact reducing or eliminating private motor vehicles would actually enable public transit buses to move through Portland faster. And Jonathan’s observation that bicycling is often faster than transit certainly proves true; I live within a block of two major bus lines, but for me to take transit to work would require more time each way than bicycling even if I made the connecting bus that runs so infrequently (every 40 to 60 minutes) that a missed connection would basically double the length of commuting time.
But there is another calculation Kanal is missing. I am healthier because I bicycle, to work, to run errands, and to get to recreational/social activities. My coworkers who “save” time by driving seem to struggle more with health issues; these are expensive, time consuming, and reduce their quality of life. So even if the bus stopped at my front door and went directly to my workplace, I would still think of bicycling as preferable, because my health is valuable and being healthy “saves time” in all sorts of ways. (I realize that bicycling = better health is a bit of a generalization, but the biologists I work with concur, as so all the health studies about how regular exercise improves short- medium- and long-term health.

Watts
Watts
1 day ago
Reply to  Lois Leveen

“transit framed as in opposition to bicycling”

For me, it is. Speaking personally, I hate biking when there are buses around. Getting stuck behind one is super frustrating and exerting myself in the diesel exhaust plume is a major bummer.

Micah
Micah
7 hours ago
Reply to  Watts

That’s funny. I feel a lot better biking when busses are around. I trust the trimet drivers a lot more than all the amped-up cagers driving around like they are late for their wedding. I feel like bus and bike are birds of a feather, trying to fly through an atmosphere clogged with private and commercial vehicles that render the streetscape a dangerous place. Point taken about the diesel, though. Why can’t we electrify busses??

Watts
Watts
7 hours ago
Reply to  Micah

“Why can’t we electrify busses??”

TriMet promises that, by 2040, they’ll have electric buses. Of course, other cities have them today.

You’ll have to ask TriMet about their lack of urgency. I think it’s criminal.

blumdrew
7 hours ago
Reply to  Micah

Why can’t we electrify busses??

Every day I curse the folly of the state legislators in granting an exemption to Rose City Transit in the 1950s from their obligations in maintaining the trolleybus network on cost saving grounds, only for them to turn around and dismantle the system overnight in 1958. If Portland had maintained trolleybus service, we’d have electric buses already with no real need to pay a premium on scarce, overly expensive, and unreliable BEBs.

TriMet insists that the capital costs of building and maintaining a catenary system for a trolleybus network isn’t worth it, but I think it’s silly to ignore a 100+ year old technology that works in tons of other places just because BEBs offer an easier but less reliable option. Modern trolleybuses with small batteries for limited off-wire service offer the best of both worlds. With a smaller battery, weight and wear on the road is decreased, and costs are lower but you aren’t solely reliant on the sometimes fickle trolleybus wires. And there’s no need for dedicated charging stations/infrastructure, since they can do that en route. If I could find the old King County Metro study about the benefits of them maintaining their trolleybus network vs. converting to diesel routes I would link it.

When TriMet studied bus electrification in 2018, they didn’t even mention trolleybuses, which I think is criminal. Sure, there’s only a handful of places in the US that have them, but if Dayton, Seattle, and San Francisco all think reinvesting in their trolleybus network makes sense surely they are worth studying in some depth.

Of course, hydrogen fuel cell tech is five to ten years away, like it has been for the past 50 years, so it makes sense to bet on that too (/s).

Watts
Watts
6 hours ago
Reply to  blumdrew

Cambridge, MA recently dismantled their trolley bus system, and replaced it with battery buses. I can’t find good info on why they did that, but I presume there was a good reason to incur the costs of transitioning from a system you consider great to one you consider unreliable.

The world is moving to battery powered vehicles, a trend that seems inevitable and unstoppable.

blumdrew
4 hours ago
Reply to  Watts

The world is moving to battery powered vehicles, a trend that seems inevitable and unstoppable

Tell that to Italy, Mexico, and China – all of who have opened trolleybus lines in the last 10 years. There are actual advantages to a trolleybus system, many of which are inherent to the fact that you don’t need to lug a two ton battery around.

A US city abandoning a trolleybus system is not evidence for it being a good idea. When have you known American transit operations to be in line with reality?

Battery electric buses face severe operational issues that cannot be waved away by future technology. We cannot just wait around for battery technology to maybe progress far enough. Dual operation trolleybuses are just BEBs with en route charging, we just need to pony up the modest sum required for the overhead catenary.

Watts
Watts
4 hours ago
Reply to  blumdrew

Ok, you’ve rejected my thoughts about why TriMet is ignoring your preferred technology… what’s your theory?

Keviniano
Keviniano
2 hours ago
Reply to  blumdrew

I hear tell that China is going big on “hybrid” trolleybus systems, with smaller batteries that recharge when connected to the catenary and are only needed for short segments where it’s hard to get the wiring in place for whatever reason. Such systems can have the buses running continuously—no need to be garaged for charging.

Micah
Micah
6 hours ago
Reply to  blumdrew

You don’t have to sell me on the Seattle electric busses. I rode them frequently when I lived there and thought they were great. Anecdotally, an important point in their favor (that helped keep them around politically) is that they are compatible with the tunnels under downtown in contrast to ICE busses. I would love Portland to have an underground transit system downtown, but I’m not optimistic I will ever see one.

blumdrew
4 hours ago
Reply to  Micah

The old bus tunnel definitely played a role in Seattle. But it’s also at least partially to do with hills (where trolleybuses really shine), and fixed-route funding from the FTA (I did find that KCM study) making the lifecycle costs of trolleybuses about 25% lower than those of diesel-hybrid. Of course, they already have the wires, so that plays a big role. Based on the fact that it’s costing Dayton ~$50M to fully rebuild their trolleybus network to modern standards (5 lines I think), I feel like we could do a similar project here for our 18 frequent service lines for maybe like $300M? Probably more than that to be honest, but it’s a ballpark. Obviously that’s a lot, but with 25% lower lifecycle costs for buses, it may be worth it on those grounds alone.

Micah
Micah
31 minutes ago
Reply to  blumdrew

Thanks for the link to the King Co. report. Interesting!

Robert Gardener
Robert Gardener
1 day ago
Reply to  Lois Leveen

I hear you, very well put. With people like Kanal and Prozanski who have great potential as allies maybe we could get out front of the discussion by offering them model legislation instead of just opposing their latest half-formed thought. I can absolutely understand a parent reacting to a nuisance, or a perceived danger to their child, with a ban on the offenders.

I’ll be a bike partisan all my life, and a rider for most of it. I don’t really expect a biking nirvana to manifest itself. It seems more likely that the near future of biking infrastructure holds a succession of civic half measures and activists’ forlorn hopes. I’ll remain a bemused spectator, from the saddle, of what last century’s DOT thinks is fit for bikes.

In alignment with Kanal I’d like to see the City of Portland put the weight of its planning power and taxing authority behind making the way straight and smooth for transit operation. Properly understood, transit has the capability to carry people of all ages and abilities quickly over a wide area in vehicles that are optimally quiet and efficient. A complete transit network (as opposed to what we have) is not in opposition to biking, it’s actually complementary.

The transit option costs more than capable bikeways but sometimes a grandiose plan can more be more politically palatable than one that is merely sane and reasonable.

Micah
Micah
1 day ago
Reply to  Lois Leveen

Also, biking is more fun than other modes.

Fred
Fred
23 hours ago
Reply to  Micah

Right on, Micah! That’s what this reductive conversation is missing.

I would ride a bike even if it were way slower than transit.

Bjorn
Bjorn
1 day ago

It might be worth noting some of the dollar values tied to these things. Looking online it appears that TriMet has a budget for FY 2025 of 1.84 billion dollars, I don’t think we’d particularly notice the difference in Trimet travel times if the city moved all the money they were planning on spending on cycling over to Trimet, we just aren’t actually spending much on cycling infrastructure compared to other modes. It is mostly paint, flexposts, and hanging up signs that say an existing street is a “neighborhood greenway”.

david hampsten
david hampsten
20 hours ago
Reply to  Bjorn

I agree. A lot of what PBOT could be doing to help transit use and speed are relatively “cheap” policy changes and adjustments to lane striping rather than new construction, such as prioritizing bus lanes rather than car parking, reconfiguring 82nd to prioritize transit and walking while they are rebuilding it anyway, signal prioritization, and making pedestrian crossings safer and easier – stuff that incidentally will likely help bicycling too – but focused more on public transit instead of “bike lanes”, at least for public consumption and PR.

Robert Wallis
Robert Wallis
1 day ago

This article touches upon something largely ignored – investments in transit are competing for investments in bike infrastructure. Yes, they are both competing with investments in motor vehicle transportation, but that does not mean they are not competing with each other. And in many ways they function together. What all three have in common is that they depend upon free federal money which in turn depends upon oil. I believe that if you took federal funding away, it would be very clear that bicycle infrastructure is a better investment than transit, and both are way better than investing in motor vehicle transportation system. Most active transportation activists look to the feds as a salvation. I view them as a curse.

SolarEclipse
SolarEclipse
22 hours ago
Reply to  Robert Wallis

they depend upon free federal money

It is hardly “free”. That is our, and others, tax money. There’s nothing “free” from the government except lies and statistics.

buildwithjoe
buildwithjoe
21 hours ago
Reply to  Robert Wallis

Very good insights, and questions. Good warning about the curse of feds and their dollars and obedience that comes with it. I would trust that in some city layouts cycling could be a better investment, but that lacks context. – Not everyone can hop on a bike option, everyone can take transit. – And some might say that the long transit trip time excludes them from using that method. But if we are talking about being able to measure the greater number of car trips removed per dollar spent on bikes or transit, I would have to see that data and know a city where that is true, and go there.

Let’s assume this this unicorn city existed, where bike project budgets got more cars off the road than transit project budgets. I really doubt most cities have the hills, river, weather and other factors that make the unicorn city have that option.

david hampsten
david hampsten
20 hours ago
Reply to  Robert Wallis

I personally view the federal funding as a neutral factor – the value of federal funding relative to everything else has been falling for decades – and most funding these days is actually from states and local sources. Federal funding tends to be released very slowly – there was an earlier article on BP that only about 20% of Congressional highway funding during the Biden administration has actually been given out – and this was about the same rate as for all previous administrations too, including Trump 1 and Bush.

Federal roadway design policy, on the other hand, I view as “progressive” relative to many states and localities, Republican ones as well as many Democratic ones (though a few states like Oregon and Virginia are even more progressive), pushing for roundabouts, complete streets, and Safe Routes 2 Schools. It’s amazing how conservative small communities even in Oregon are about infrastructure design, and often state DOTs and the Feds find themselves having to push for sidewalks and safe crossings in rural backwater areas.

There is far more Federal funding for transit than bicycling (a crying shame really), but both are small potatoes compared to car infrastructure funding, alas.

Aaron K
Aaron K
1 day ago

Ouch. BikeLoud sent out questionnaires to candidates during the election, and somehow did not get responses back from Councilor Kanal, even though he and his Chief of Staff did attend the BikeLoud candidate rides. That’s unfortunate because I think that questionnaire gave candidates an opportunity to do their homework before they were in positions of power.

We probably don’t need to debate the functioning or prioritization of transit at this time, but it would be great if someone helped tutor Councilor Kanal on this.

Not everyone is an expert on urban transportation issues, and there are some prominent transportation advocates in Portland who get attention, and are all in on transit, even though they themselves ride bikes. It can be hard to listen through the noise.

qqq
qqq
1 day ago

People advocating for transit often seem to forget that pretty much every transit ride starts and ends with walking. People won’t ride transit if they can’t walk safety to or from it.

SolarEclipse
SolarEclipse
22 hours ago
Reply to  qqq

Or how about waiting for the bus? I have the fortune (sarcasm of course) of standing at a bus stop that has no bus shelter, no trees, and no buildings nearby. It was wonderful standing at it this morning, in the wind and rain, waiting for the bus. My outside was thoroughly soaked.
I consider myself fortunate as I do have a complete rainproof outfit, so I stayed dry. But I see so many riding the bus with just a hoodie that doesn’t keep the rain off and get quite wet. What about them Trimet?

James
James
12 hours ago
Reply to  SolarEclipse

If you were on your bike you would still be out in the weather.

Watts
Watts
8 hours ago
Reply to  James

That’s one reason people like their cars. They’re warm and dry in winter, and cool in summer.

I'll Show UP
I'll Show UP
1 day ago

Thankfully he’s not on the transportation committee. Seems like he should hear from his constituents with a lot of the good arguments being made here.

david hampsten
david hampsten
20 hours ago
Reply to  I'll Show UP

Yes, and as Lisa has pointed out, his constituents both in his district and citywide (since he represents both) should go talk with him, including, not to put too fine a point on it, yourself.

SD
SD
23 hours ago

After biking around Portland for 20 years, I am still surprised by how fast it is to get places on a bike. And, how driving is usually not much faster, and many times slower than expected. Especially when accounting for “door to door” time.

My general rule of thumb is 5-6 miles in 20-25 minutes. This radius covers a large area of Portland. Many of the places that feel far away, are usually not as far as I think, but seem far because they are surrounded by asphalt hell-scapes and car sewers.
For example, I thought Delta Park must have been 10 miles away and take forever to bike there, but it turns out it was closer than many places that I think of as being really close.

I would urge all of our councilors to use math, when it is applicable. People will be impressed.

Fred
Fred
23 hours ago

I *hate* this kind of rhetoric! No one ever, ever questions devoting 95% of our transportation infrastructure to cars and trucks, yet bikes are always being played off some other constituency (transit, scooters, homeless people, you name it).

Clearly we need space for ALL modes. And that’s that. [mic drop]

flatbedbike
flatbedbike
23 hours ago

Portland will benefit from both better transit and bike infrastructure. Period.

SolarEclipse
SolarEclipse
22 hours ago
Reply to  flatbedbike

As long as TriMet keeps mismanaging their operations it never will be better.
An example, before Christmas a window in a bus shelter at Parkrose TC was broken. As of this morning it still hasn’t been fixed and there’s still pieces of broken glass on the ground. With that amount of incompetence over what should be a simple and routine task, how can we ever hope to have a functional transit system?

blumdrew
22 hours ago

I think that there’s a widespread gap between the level of investment people think bikes get and the amount bikes actually get. I know the greenway buildout wasn’t free, but those projects were all pretty minimal compared to the cost of rebuilding a road like 82nd.

I ride the bus a lot and I bike a lot, but I’ll echo what most others are saying here: I often bike specifically because it’s faster than the bus. And it’s not just long crosstown trips. I can bike from my apartment to PSU in 10 minutes at full speed, the bus is more like 20 minutes without any delays (partly because neither of my two local routes serve the southern portion of downtown, necessitating a transfer or 10 minute walk). I obviously live close in, so this is a marginal point but even in the situations where transit is most convenient and competitive, I mostly take it so I can write comments here or do some reading rather than pedal my bike

buildwithjoe
buildwithjoe
22 hours ago

Councilor Kanal is 100% correct to ask us all to reflect, be honest, and act for change. I have the data and the stories. I have the qualitative numbers, and the qualitative lived experience as a 12 year bike commuter and Trimet customer. I’ve asked Jonathan to let me speak, but he does not reply. He enjoys the profit of his white perspective journalism, like the one above. This is a form of Tech white silence, funded by affluent Tech people like Mike Perham.

I’m going to pull cycling rank on anyone without 2+ years of all year, long distance commute experience. ( this long distance is what Kanal was targeting, 9+ miles one way to work. ) That’s the context here. Car commute trips that go more than 9 miles are currently , nearly impossible for the average person to convert to a bike commute. Transit trips are nearly double the car commute time.

We should be reflecting with Kanal? Who of you has biked cross town the last 12 years? I do 10 miles one way to work, and back; that’s 100 miles a week. 30,000 commute miles, I go through the tires and brakes to prove it. Talk to the shops. I’m a cat 2 racer and my Ebike commute is 33 minutes, car commute 25 min in the morning and 44min in the evening, often better. The transit commute is 60-70, and often longer and never, ever less than 60 minutes. There is no way in hell I could use transit, and there is no way in hell anyone but the one percent could do my commute and not end up in hospital. We are 30 years away from a city that could make that commute safe.

Portland transit needs a full overhaul now , and that will get cars off the road, and that will trickle down to cyclists like me. It will shorten that 30 year bike plan to 15, but transit must come first. And don’t get upset, bikes are still along for the full ride, just not in the front of the agenda.

Our transit routes are so inefficient we could have DOGE teens or monkeys randomly draw better routes and we might be better off with 50% of those plans. Our trip times are horrible. I documented to PBOT it took 7 minutes to cross the Moda transit center on foot to exit the 35 and walk to the yellow line. Only after endless email battles did the signals get changed to put more burden on cars, and less time after hitting a beg button.

Before Jim Howell passed away he targeted the horrible design of the Hollwood Transit center rebuild. RIP. He was a transit engineer and halted the Mt Hood Freeway and so many other freeway expansions with large and cooperative groups. The key thing is that back then groups had a vision and less ego, now we have no vision from the Street Trust, Oregon Walks and Bike Loud, We have lots of ego that will marginalize anyone who ask questions like Kanal. The best evidence of this is the car centric SW Barbur Max proposal voters killed (thank goodness. ) Had transit thought leaders packed up their ego we could have had something like the AORTA proposed Max Purple line. We could still have it soon if people worked together.

I grew up in Chicago and took transit 4 years to high school cross town and one year to UIC as well. I rail commuted SF to San Mateo on Caltrain for years. I lived in SF 10 years. I bet my bike and transist work commute miles are higher than anyone on the top 10 awards for flooding us with the most comments. Even mr Knuckles. All those transit systems I used are so superior because their routes are laid out much better.

I have spent many summers in NYC on their transit. Portland transit is about as good as Houston’s transit in the 90’s, and yes I worked there, and both Houston and Portland Transit do not support long commutes.

I would say most people who have lived outside the Portland bubble would agree Portland need to reflect long and deep on our lack of vision and unrealistic expectations that bikes can meet the climate reduction goals that bike advocates parade around. And most people outside the bubble know Portland is all talk and very little action.

The comments here reflect the never ending white bike egos and blindness that decayed the BTA into just 1.5 staff. ( Yes you Rob Sadowsky  and Sarah Iannarone) The bike bus thought leaders like PPS Coach Sam Balto post racist Tweets that Black Civil rights leaders “ratF’ed” Sarah. I know Sarah would have won as mayor if you worked on coalition and stopped kissing up to cops. And Balto used the full F word. . Now we have another bike Bus Leader posting social media that he hopes birds cause plain crashes, and the bro thinks he can have a chance at school board. There are so many examples of how the bike community is unable to work outside their bubble and build a robust transit system that does not have bikes at the front of the agenda.

Build with me and Kanal. Did you donate to him? I did. And for this exact reason.

Peace! Joe

Stephen Keller
Stephen Keller
15 hours ago
Reply to  buildwithjoe

This somewhat reflects my experiences with mix-mode (bike+MAX) commutes from St. Johns to Hillsboro. I made that commute two days each week for about nine years before COVID changed my commute habits. It was a solid three hours of cycling when I rode the full way morning and evening, four when I took Trimet through the tunnel. If I just rode Trimet alone it was four-plus an unpredictably variable amount of wait time between trains and buses (on average about four-and-a-half hours round trip). The worst was a four-hour trip home when Trimet was having trouble staffing the trains a few years ago. I gave up. Average round trips by car for my trip take about 75 minutes. If we want transit to attract the SOV folks, it needs to get a lot faster.

SolarEclipse
SolarEclipse
10 hours ago
Reply to  buildwithjoe

This is a form of Tech white silence

There’s no one stopping you, or anyone, irrespective of their skin color to start a forum for discussion such as this.
I definitely don’t agree with what is always said here, but I wouldn’t stoop so low to claim it had to do with the owner’s skin color. Remember, not every interaction on this planet involves the skin color of the participants.

Fred
Fred
9 hours ago
Reply to  buildwithjoe

qualitative lived experience

That’s a new one for me. Isn’t the whole point of “lived experience” that it’s not about the quality of the experience – just that it’s YOUR experience??

blumdrew
9 hours ago
Reply to  buildwithjoe

Our transit routes are so inefficient we could have DOGE teens or monkeys randomly draw better routes and we might be better off with 50% of those plans.

Can you provide specific examples and how you would rationalize TriMet routes? I have plenty of small gripes with a lot of bus routes, but I feel like inefficient routes is really not the primary issue facing our transit network. I think we need vastly improved local bus service in Portland, but that’s a funding/resources/priorities issue more than a route efficiency one.

And comparing transit in Portland to San Francisco, New York and Chicago is a bit ridiculous. They are very different places. The least dense parts of San Francisco are as dense as the densest parts of Portland, and Chicago is sui generis for anything involving railroads (and by extension rail transit). And New York is sui generis for all things American city. It’s nonsensical to think that we will have world-class public transit in a place where prevailing population densities are like 5,000 people/square mile. Portland’s pre-Covid transit ridership strength revolved heavily around regional land use policy that centered office jobs in downtown Portland. So yes, we could use an overhaul but there are no quick and easy solutions. I think TriMet’s current plans have many flaws that are worth critiquing, but they are broadly reflective of the changes that I think we need in spirit.

The key thing is that back then groups had a vision and less ego,

This is ahistoric and frankly absurd. Anti-freeway activism in the 1970s had plenty of ego and some truly despicable people came to power as a result of that (like the future mayor of Portland who I will not name, but you know the one and what he did). What they did have that we don’t was broad social mandate for change, at least partly as a result of the 70s oil crisis (alongside air pollution and community destruction). There is no comparable, tangible threat to organize around. Yes, there’s climate change but that’s not threatening in the same way. We aren’t short on potential leaders for change, we are short on community consensus that a change is actually needed.

wortkisser
wortkisser
19 hours ago

I’m so over politicians that are framing transit in opposition to cycling. Besides being uninformed rhetoric, the absolutist logic simply doesn’t jive with how many Portlanders utilize multiple commuting modes in their lives. Roughly half of the people I work with at a small business in the Central Eastside don’t use an exclusive way of getting to work every day. Some days people ride a bike or scooter, other days they may drive a vehicle and still others they may take TriMet.

For me personally, in spite of living two blocks from a TriMet line that drops me off a block from where I work, the reality is riding my e-bike to work during rush hour is always the quickest way to get the 6.8 miles to work. It usually beats a bus ride by about 10 minutes and a vehicle by 5.

John Carter
John Carter
18 hours ago

The combination of bikes + transit as a mode unto itself is one that is often overlooked. TriMet is a greatly enhanced service if you have a bike you can load on board. It might seem obvious to some people, but I’ve lost count of how many people only put two and two together after I discussed the concept of combining modes with them. Like everything in this country, we’re conditioned to think in “either/or” binaries.

It doesn’t have to be ‘Hey, bike this entire way’ – I get it, biking is significantly less appealing as a standalone mode in the outer parts of Portland, but combine it with reliable and frequent transit and it becomes much more viable. More FX lines will help with this, given the greatly increased space to bring a bike on board.

Trike Guy
Trike Guy
9 hours ago
Reply to  John Carter

I never plan a trip that includes bike+bus and only put my bike on the bus in emergencies.

The chances are too high that the rack will be full and TriMet headways are way too long.

Bike+MAX is my usual combo.

Plus, the MAX allows my trike (I have a hanger on the boom so it hangs in less space than an upright).

Fred
Fred
9 hours ago
Reply to  John Carter

Great point, John. I have a dream of a transit system with stops spaced two miles apart. The trains and buses have just a couple of seats but huge doors so everyone can get a bike on board. The bus routes are like spokes on a cheap bicycle wheel (there are a lot of them), and they run every 15 minutes all day.

In this system, no one needs a car since you can always bike one mile (or less) to a stop where a bus will meet you minutes later and take you quickly to a point where you can bike to your next destination or transfer to another bus (yes – I know the downsides of hub-and-spoke systems but we have one now and it’s a BAD and SLOW system).

Who’s with me here??

Watts
Watts
8 hours ago
Reply to  Fred

“Who’s with me here??”

Not me. Why would this be better than a system of small vehicles with just a couple of seats that could take you door-to-door on demand? With that we could skip all the buses and eliminate the coordination problem.

blumdrew
6 hours ago
Reply to  Watts

Why would this be better than a system of small vehicles with just a couple of seats that could take you door-to-door on demand?

Because it’s far more efficient and faster to get the passengers to line up along a straight road than it is to wind around neighborhoods with door-to-door service. A cab service is fast if it’s just you, but add three or more people to it and you will be significantly slowed down by deviations to get them to their door.

The service you are describing both doesn’t exist and likely never will. If automated pod type things ever take off, they will reinvent the fixed route bus if they ever try to make it efficient for more than a few people riding at once. Now sure, an automated taxi fleet wouldn’t be subject to these pressures, but based on what I’ve seen for Waymo fares versus Uber fares, there are no cost savings at the current level of technology so we have hardly arrived anywhere near a mass transit solution – even before we get in to the various ethical and legal issues that automated cars face.

Jake9
Jake9
6 hours ago
Reply to  blumdrew

“The service you are describing both doesn’t exist and likely never will.“

https://dor.wa.gov/education/industry-guides/auto-dealers/ride-sharing-vehicles-car-or-van-pools

I don’t know about down there, but up here we have something very similar to what Watts is (and has been for what seems like a long time) describing. The van/car pool vehicles are very popular at my work and all kinds of varied political persuasion find them handy and essential to their ability to get to and from work. I realize that this is mainly geared towards commuting, but it subtracts a lot of cars from the road and provides a way for people without a car or access to transit the ability to get to work.

blumdrew
4 hours ago
Reply to  Jake9

People have been trying to make vanpools work as serious mass transit for like 60 years. They are fine for commuting, but that’s about it from what I’ve read.

Watts
Watts
4 hours ago
Reply to  blumdrew

Tell that to Lima, Peru (and probably a hundred other cities that rely on van and microbus transit).

The truth is that none of the established transit systems work all that well for a city like Portland.

Jake9
Jake9
3 hours ago
Reply to  blumdrew

You made an overly strong statement that something had never and will never exist. When given a concrete, real world example you attack it by saying it’s only good for commuting and given your track record of incorrect authoritative statements I suspect there are examples to disprove your statement. Also, even if all it’s good for is reducing congestion during commuting hours, isn’t that a good thing?
Maybe get out into the world and see how it works rather than basing your authority only on things you’ve read of other people/cities doing?

Watts
Watts
6 hours ago
Reply to  blumdrew

It may be more efficient for the provider if passengers line up along the road, but significantly less efficient from the passenger’s viewpoint.

A cab service is fast if it’s just you, but add three or more people to it and you will be significantly slowed down by deviations to get them to their door.

Then use 3 cabs, and parallelize the service.

The service you are describing both doesn’t exist and likely never will. 

The service I describe exists today, and you’ve probably used it in the form of Uber or Lyft. It’s currently a fair bit more expensive than a bus (though dramatically cheaper than WES!)

My point here is that the service described in Fred’s post offers significant disadvantages over what’s currently available. Buses and trains work because the driver/passenger ratio can be quite low, keeping labor costs (sort of) manageable. They offer few other advantages (and many disadvantages) compared to an electric Uber.

We simply don’t know yet what the economics of autonomous taxis will be. They’ll likely be cheaper than human driven ones (or they won’t exist), but beyond that it’s really too early to tell. I believe they’ll be cheap enough to siphon off a significant number of today’s transit riders, but that’s just speculation.

blumdrew
4 hours ago
Reply to  Watts

significantly less efficient from the passenger’s viewpoint.

Not necessarily, since the “line-haul” portion of the route is also much faster this way. I’d prefer to walk 5 minutes to the stop rather than sit on a bus making 5 minutes of deviations on side streets to pick up passengers.

Then use 3 cabs, and parallelize the service.

Great, I love it when my mass transit option requires a vehicle for every person. That’s a great way to save on capital costs (/s if that wasn’t obvious).

The service I describe exists today, and you’ve probably used it in the form of Uber or Lyft. It’s currently a fair bit more expensive than a bus (though dramatically cheaper than WES!)

Yes, and it always will be more expensive than a bus for the reasons I outlined above. And WES might cost TriMet $100/ride to operate, but they only charge $2.85. Getting everyone on WES an Uber to/from their stop probably may be cheaper when its all said and done, but it would definitely be slower.

In the long term, it’s possible that an autonomous taxi will be less expensive to operate than a human driver. Currently, it costs a consumer about $10 to Uber from my apartment to City Hall. A ride on the 14 gets you 95% of the way there, with just a short walk to and from the stops. It costs TriMet something like $4.50 per ride on average on the 14 (though a trip that short is probably less). I have no idea how much of that $10 is labor costs for Uber, and I don’t know how much labor an autonomous taxi service may still require. I do think it’s unlikely for it to be significantly more efficient than a human driver, based on the sheer amount of technology required to do autonomous stuff as of now. Those LIDARs can’t be cheap.

Watts
Watts
4 hours ago
Reply to  blumdrew

Those LIDARs can’t be cheap.

They aren’t, but then they’re not really being mass produced.

Automation may not pan out. In that case, the tech companies are out a bunch of money, but we’re no worse off than we are today.

But if it does, it will be cheaper than a human driver (because that’s one of the criteria for “panning out”). And it seems likely that the more we do it, the better we’ll get at it, and the cheaper it will become. Transit, on the other hand, will continue to become more and more expensive to operate (unless it too is automated).

Play the tape forward 10 or 20 years into the future. Do you see catenary-bus service replacing private cars, or most Portlanders riding bikes everywhere? If not, what do you see?

Watts
Watts
2 hours ago
Reply to  blumdrew

And WES might cost TriMet $100/ride to operate, but they only charge $2.85. Getting everyone on WES an Uber to/from their stop probably may be cheaper when its all said and done, but it would definitely be slower.

I’m going to comment on this part as well. You wouldn’t get them an Uber to and from a transit stop, you get them one to and from their ultimate origin and destination. That would probably be faster if you include the time to get to and from the station on either end, and any buffer time required to ensure you don’t miss the train.

So better and cheaper (and probably faster)… and if you used EVs, probably more environmentally friendly than a heavy diesel train chugging back and forth.

Why are we spending our money on WES?

Trike Guy
Trike Guy
3 hours ago
Reply to  Watts

Small, light, 2 passenger autonomous electric vehicles (ALEV’s) operating in operating in lanes designed for them (narrow, barring standard motor vehicles) might just work out.

I’d want them to use low range capacitors and automatically find a charging station between trips (inductive charging pads?).

I have power tools that use ultra fast charging capacitors instead of LION cells and I just swap them back and forth during long projects. Way more effective use of raw materials than current, huge, EV batteries).

Get them under 1,000 lbs dry weight and we might just have something – way less damage to roads, less space occupied traveling/idling and relatively low power consumption compared to anything but a ULV (ultra light vehicle – think <100lbs dry weight)

Jake9
Jake9
7 hours ago
Reply to  Fred

“In this system, no one needs a car since you can always bike one mile (or less) to a stop“

I guess people who physically can’t bicycle Should just stay home and pay the extra taxes for their delivered items? Or should they just be euthanized and save the young and able the bother of their existence?
Stops 2 miles apart are way too far apart. Still, the general idea of having good enough transit so people (of all ages and capabilities) can live car-less is sound.

blumdrew
9 hours ago
Reply to  John Carter

I strongly second this. My partner works in Hillsboro off of TV Highway and I’ve had to pick her up from work a few times. I can get to her office in ~45 minutes on a bike + the blue line, while it’s closer to 90 minutes on transit alone. I also used to commute from SE to Tigard, and my bike + bus time was ~40 minutes compared to the 75 minutes on transit alone.

I will say that FX lines aren’t strictly necessary for improving bike capacity on the buses. King County Metro has front bike racks which hold three bikes, and we could theoretically buy articulated buses for (some) normal routes with no changes. The 14 and 12 come to mind as higher ridership routes that could probably be done in an articulated bus with no other major changes.

Watts
Watts
8 hours ago
Reply to  blumdrew

“King County Metro has front bike racks which hold three bikes”

So does every TriMet bus.

dw
dw
7 hours ago
Reply to  Watts

TriMet bus bike racks only hold 2 bikes and the FX buses only have two interior racks.

Watts
Watts
7 hours ago
Reply to  dw

TriMet bus bike racks only hold 2 bikes

You are right! I thought we had upgraded years ago, I guess we didn’t.

blumdrew
7 hours ago
Reply to  Watts

I have only ever seen bike racks on TriMet buses that hold two bikes

Robert Gardener
Robert Gardener
1 hour ago
Reply to  blumdrew

There are evidently a couple of places where a three inch difference in turning radius is a make-or-break for the route (the triple racks are surprising compact).

Either that, or TriMet hates bikes.

david hampsten
david hampsten
8 hours ago
Reply to  John Carter

John, I agree with you. Out here in north central North Carolina every city has their usual public transit service (some better than others), but we also have Amtrak service (5 trains/day each way between Charlotte and Raleigh, bikes carried for free) as well as a regional inter-city public bus service called the Piedmont Authority for Regional Transportation (PART) which connects many communities that don’t have train service to those that do, as well as various hospitals and universities, all for $2.50 per ticket, each bus equipped with the usual bike rack – I’ve used the PART bus to connect from Greensboro to Winston-Salem and to Chapel Hill, as neither community has train service.

Old Potato
Old Potato
10 hours ago

There’s an awful lot that bugs me about Councilor Kanal. In this case, it’s his combination of smug certainty he is right and his ignorance of how local government works that he routinely demonstrates in Council meetings.

Take it up with TriMet, Kanal, and leave bikes alone.

Keep your eye on this guy.

Trike Guy
Trike Guy
10 hours ago

On a 7-speed town bike I can ride from Columbia and 5th downtown to the Main St. stop in Milwauikie at the same speed as the Orange line at 4am (so nothing slowing that train down).

This is not including time waiting for a train which adds 5-10 minutes to any transit trip without transfers.

Once you have to transfer add 10 or more minutes to the trip as well.

If you have to go out into SE from CTC transit center, add way more. TriMet does *not* schedule trains and buses to connect in an efficient manner. I have an injury that has made me transit dependent these last few weeks, and I have a 30minute wait time at CTC because trying to get rid of it means missing a once an hour bus by about 30seconds.

For those who are willing to do it, biking provides cheaper, faster travel over distances up to 10 miles than transit. (that bike has a lifetime cost of approx $1000 over 6 years and 12,000 miles)

ThunderdomePDX
ThunderdomePDX
9 hours ago

Good. It’s long overdue that the conversation shift to speed and convenience instead of “What’s good for the (insert cause here).”

If transit was faster, people would choose transit. If biking was faster, people would choose biking. For Jonathan’s hypothetical trip from Peninsula Park to PCC, the drive is only 20 minutes. Assume 45 for 4 pm on a Thursday.

Will transit ever compete with that? Depending on how imaginative we are, it could. But biking… won’t. Ever. And spending 2 hours a day commuting – on a bike, on a bus or in a car – is nobody’s idea of a good time.

So if we want to get people out of cars in our urban area that stretches 40 miles end-to-end, or in our city that is roughly 15 miles wide, we need to get them into something else fast and convenient. That’s never going to be a bicycle beyond a 3-or-so mile radius.

Steven Smith
Steven Smith
6 hours ago
Reply to  ThunderdomePDX

Actually, I think biking two hours a day is a LOT of people’s idea of a good time. Healthy. Inexpensive. Enjoyable…

SolarEclipse
SolarEclipse
2 hours ago
Reply to  Steven Smith

is a LOT of people’s

Strange “LOT” = 5% (approximate ridership) hmmm that’s quite the new definition for a LOT.

blumdrew
8 hours ago

especially when we’re also building those bike lanes on major thoroughfares and creating the safety risks associated with that

I feel like this is the worst part of this quote to me. If Kanal is against having bikes on major roads because of the “safety risks”, the issue is that cars kill people not that bikes might exist. Whenever the Sandy project begins, there will be a political fight surrounding bikes vs. transit, just like there was on Hawthorne. I ride the 14 a lot and feel very strongly that the new sections of Hawthorne did little, if anything, to improve the transit experience. I’ve had more buses than I can count delayed by cars passing the bus in the turn lane, or cars refusing to yield when the bus is in a stop that pulls out of the roadway. Does anyone seriously believe that the bike lanes on Foster make the 14 slower?

I chock this up to a design which favors cars and parking first, and leaves transit to fight for scraps with bikes and pedestrians. On Sandy, the roadway is generally wider than on Hawthorne. There is room for a median running busway, bike lanes, and two travel lanes wide enough for trucks on most of the road. Why can’t TriMet, PBOT, et al. design a center running busway ala Eugene where constricted sections involve a “single track” section for buses? It’s not like we would ever run buses frequently enough to schedule around that anyways.

But I digress. Kanal’s framing that bikes get in the way of high-quality transit is delusional. Cars get in the way of high quality transit. There are no places in Portland where bike traffic meaningfully delays buses. There are countless where cars do. Either/or is not a good way to consider bikes and transit, they both need to be prioritized over cars. Every single road in the city of Portland is wide enough for buses and bikes to peacefully coexist, but very few are if you commit to not altering car travel patterns at all.

Robert Gardener
Robert Gardener
1 hour ago
Reply to  blumdrew

Sandy Boulevard is a huge opportunity for a diagonal bike route that mixes well with transit while having minimal impact on actual car throughout. Motor vehicle drivers in the current design may reach 35 or 40 mph top speed but that runs up against light timing that brings them to a full stop.

Unfortunately we’re probably going to get a design that puts the priority on two lanes for cars + parking on a route that parallels a 6 lane freeway.

Matt
Matt
18 minutes ago

Hollywood is a fascinating district. It’s interspersed with some wonderful businesses and amenities as well as lease signs and empty storefronts. It can feel vital, but still underwhelming. There’s the potential to be a fantastic, vibrant spot, but there’s a lingering, simmering sense of atrophy . How can a neighborhood business district with the popular Hollywood Theatre (or pick your favorite spot) feel like it’s immersed in a malaise?

And it seems you could argue that it feels like this because of the district’s relationship with Sandy Boulevard. It’s a cut through, both physically and metaphorically. A transit redesign of Sandy, especially between 39th and 57th, could be transformative. I don’t have any specifics. I hope Kanal and co do.

david hampsten
david hampsten
8 hours ago

Since this is admittedly a bike blog, we shouldn’t be surprised by all the commenters who find bicycling far superior to public transit use, faster, etc. No doubt we’d get much the same arguments for car driving, boarding, or walking on many other blogs.

However, there are many positive advantages of using public transit compared to other modes, particularly city buses, that no one has seemed to touch on:

_ While you are sitting on the bus or train, you can read a book, your phone, work or play on a laptop, for pretty much the whole of your 55-minute ride with legal impunity (we of course see drivers trying to do this too, even cyclists, but they get a bit distracted trying to interact with traffic too.) Basically you can have a productive commute rather than idly trying to dodge traffic and somehow survive to your destination.

_ There’s no sweat involved aside from walking.

_ You don’t need to worry about parking your 40-foot bus when you get to your destination nor if it will get stolen by some corner chop shop thief.

Trike Guy
Trike Guy
5 hours ago
Reply to  david hampsten

Nope, just got to put up with:

People playing loud music (1 in 2 train trips), people who smell like they defecated in their pants (yesterday bus), someone lighting up a pipe (meth? fent?), another person telling them not to, the first person then pepper spraying the 2nd, the 2nd beating the ever loving crap out of the smoker and the entire train being cleared out (last Friday train).

But, often you’re right. I like to set a timer and nap. ANC on my headphones helps a *LOT*

Watts
Watts
5 hours ago
Reply to  Trike Guy

Some people would pay a lot to see a show like that!

SolarEclipse
SolarEclipse
2 hours ago
Reply to  Trike Guy

Though my transit rides haven’t been quite that bad, but pretty close.
Let’s face it, TriMet has totally dropped the ball by letting anyone on the trains and buses. Sorry, but the ones that don’t pay are usually the ones that act out in dangerous ways. Pretty much every trip I have on a bus will have many who just walk on. The bus drivers aren’t allowed to do anything and “security” is a joke.
And the TriMet board can’t figure out why ridership is so down.

Lazy Spinner
Lazy Spinner
2 hours ago

A much bigger council with diversity of viewpoints and agendas. A coming lack of federal funding. Greatly diminished mode share and political clout. Folks – this isn’t looking good and is just a taste of our future. If we couldn’t get a mayor and four mostly likeminded commissioners to go all in on bikes, then we cannot expect to get an expanded council to suddenly be in lockstep on bike issues.

The golden days are over, IMHO. Going forward, we need to find broader alliances and compromise if we want things done. Guilt tripping over climate change and carbon emissions is futile. Screaming about cagers and hating on the trucking lobby won’t get us anywhere. Bike Loud and The Street Trust are greatly diminished and possibly irrelevant under the new system of government. Everything is now about delivering for the councilor’s district. Jobs, sidewalks, retail and business opportunities, homelessness, gangs, drugs, and crime are going to get the attention, not the less than 5% that ride bikes.

I wish that this wasn’t the case, but the world has changed. The calculous changed with the New Year but the downward trend has been evident for those paying honest attention.